File :-(, x, )
Anonymous
This guy here is claiming that "the people at PECOTA" are only better at predictions than he is because they have more time than he does. Not because "they" might know more than him.

Here are his predictions (where he makes such calls like: Jeff Francouer for MVP).

http://baseballevolution.com/previews/2008richpred.html


Here's the thread.

http://forum.myspace.com/index.cfm?fuseaction=messageboard.viewThread&entryID=69057435&group
ID=100110616&adTopicID=26&Mytoken=2907E552-5B0F-4A19-8137559BC9E8A97E116840814
>> Anonymous
What a goddamned idiot. PECOTA is nothing more than a mathematical algorithm, done on a computer.

Though he *is* right, it takes a long time. Nate Silver invented the qERA statistic because PECOTA takes so long to calculate.
>> Anonymous
He looks safe to me.
>> Anonymous
>>435699
Well he's certainly right that it's Silver's job and it's time consuming.

That's about the only part he's right about.
>> Kilgamayan !2BklmILFiE
Nothing unquantifiable should ever be used in an argument centered around determining which of two things is objectively better.

Also, "not having time" to make proper projections doesn't explain why PECOTA projections are consistently *the best* projections out there.
>> Anonymous
>>435729
FWIW, there's an argument to be made for MGL being *the best,* at least for predicting how teams will finish.

But that's another computer projection system, so the point still stands.
>> Anonymous
>>435699
Nate Silver is a fag that spouts propaganda for Barack Obama.
>> Anonymous
>>435756
What exactly are make believe predictions?
>> Anonymous
>>435770

The people at PECOTA and the like.
>> Anonymous
>>435774
Are you willing to elaborate or are you as thinly veiled a troll as you seem to be.
>> Anonymous
>>435775
Even if he's a troll, "make believe predictions" doesn't make sense.
>> Anonymous
Threads like this make me sad. Nerds trolling nerds
>> Anonymous
Drunk failanon here... who's in op's pic?
>> PhilKenSebben !qNgkjhpu0A
>>435815
Wille Bloomquist, hot new free agent.
>> Anonymous
>>435880
The Ms didn't give him a 5year 20mil extension? I'm stunned.
>> HKK !h7MHU9L/Oo
>>435916

I know, it's a shame. If Bill Bavasi were still around it would have happened.
>> Anonymous
There is a reason Myspace forums are shit, I take that back Myspace as a whole is shit.

Also Jexy is a faggot.
>> HKK !h7MHU9L/Oo
Wow, in that thread, Rich tries to explain MVP:

"He and Bobby both seem to think that a guy whose team finished in 3rd place, 14 games behind the first place team with a record barely over .500 is deserving of the Most VALUABLE Player award even though his efforts weren’t nearly enough to help carry his team to the post-season.

They, and other sabermetricians like them, value only numbers and care not the least about the intangibles that make up a true MVP. Or in my opinion, they don’t understand the meaning of Most Valuable Player.

If anything, Williams was the beneficiary of a split vote between DiMaggio, the Yankee closer Joe Page and their first baseman, George McQuinn. If the vote hadn’t been split, Williams would have finished a lot further behind DiMaggio than 1 point. I think Williams came a lot closer to winning than he should have. Remember, only 3 out of 22 writers even gave him a first place vote, the same as McQuinn who finished 6th.

The real question is who gave first place vote to Lou Boudreau? Or maybe the real problem is the Philly writers who gave Eddie Joost two first place votes, likely to spite both the Red Sox and Yankees.

I’d say give Williams (retroactively) the Hank Aaron Award which is supposed to go to the player who has the best offensive season but since this year it was awarded to Aramis Ramirez and Kevin Youkilis instead of say Albert Pujols and Alex Rodriguez, that award is more or less a joke now (though Youkilis is more worthy than Ramirez at least).

Now I will admit I don’t a tremendous amount about the 1947 season but I do know that you can’t judge a season, or an MVP, on numbers alone and considering the Sox poor finish that year, I do not consider Williams to have been the MVP."

Hey guys, objective numbers don't matter, only subjective opinions do.
>> Anonymous
>>435996
LOL