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Anonymous File :-(, x)
>The current findings contribute to a growing body of evidence that the outcomes of important elections can be predicted from person judgments (refs. 3 and 16, and D. Benjamin and J. Shapiro, personal communication). In the research of Benjamin and Shapiro, participants predicted the outcomes of gubernatorial races after observing 10 s of gubernatorial debates. When the sound of the debate was off or muffled, these judgments predicted the outcomes better than chance. The judgments remained a significant predictor of the vote share after controlling for incumbency, campaign spending, and a number of economic indicators. Interestingly, when the sound was on, predictions were at chance, suggesting that the useful information in terms of prediction was nonverbal and that inferring the party affiliation of the candidates and policy positions led to worse predictions. These findings are consistent with a large body of evidence in social psychology that thin slices of nonverbal behaviors can provide sufficient information for accurate social judgments (1723). The current findings show that in the case of elections, even 100 ms of exposure to the faces of the candidates can provide sufficient information to predict the election outcomes.
http://www.pnas.org/content/104/46/17948.full
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